I disagree with some of these picks (ex Dolphins over Cowboys, especially with Romo returning) but the point of this blog is to follow the model and see what it can predict:
Titans @ Jaguars (JAX by 4.758) Thursday at 8:25PM
Rams @ Ravens (BAL by 2.129) Sunday at 1:00PM
Redskins @ Panthers (CAR by 7.516) Sunday at 1:00PM
Broncos @ Bears (DEN by -3.577) Sunday at 1:00PM
Cowboys @ Dolphins (MIA by 6.017) Sunday at 1:00PM
Raiders @ Lions (OAK by -2.197) Sunday at 1:00PM
Jets @ Texans (NYJ by -2.135) Sunday at 1:00PM
Colts @ Falcons (ATL by 6.464) Sunday at 1:00PM
Buccaneers @ Eagles (PHI by 13.253) Sunday at 1:00PM
Chiefs @ Chargers (KC by -7.231) Sunday at 4:05PM
Packers @ Vikings (MIN by 2.799) Sunday at 4:25PM
49ers @ Seahawks (SEA by 14.285) Sunday at 4:25PM
Bengals @ Cardinals (ARI by 4.466) Sunday at 8:30PM
Bills @ Patriots (NE by 14.181) Monday at 8:30PM
My last week picks were terrible – 4-10 (28.57%) but it looks like there were a lot of upsets league-wide among people making picks. My season overall is now 41-28 (59.42%). I expect a rebound in Week 11.
Power Rankings
- Patriots -14.80622451
- Cardinals -10.2293053
- Bengals -8.763174038
- Steelers -6.413662666
- Chiefs -5.151734659
- Panthers -4.603024718
- Jets -3.664813218
- Bills -3.625713379
- Broncos -3.581127935
- Eagles -2.93697678
- Seahawks -2.61196403
- Packers -2.292418826
- Vikings -2.092338505
- Falcons -1.282686045
- Giants -1.242796698
- Redskins -0.086722419
- Dolphins 1.126202639
- Texans 1.470545421
- Rams 1.676185748
- Colts 2.181712649
- Ravens 2.547680678
- Raiders 2.694533663
- Bears 2.995927035
- Cowboys 4.143298917
- Chargers 5.079023807
- Jaguars 5.326911624
- Saints 6.03443556
- Titans 7.084545616
- Browns 7.142959543
- Buccaneers 7.316044107
- Lions 7.891491635
- 49ers 8.673185084
Last week my picks took a dip – I was 8-5 (61.54%). Overall record for this year: 37 and 18 (67.28%).
Week 10 Picks
Bills @ Jets (NYJ by 5.45) – Thursday 8:25PM EST
Jaguars @ Ravens (BAL by 10.39) – Sunday 1PM EST
Panthers @ Titans (CAR by -7.00) – Sunday 1PM EST
Browns @ Steelers (PIT by 19.47) – Sunday 1PM EST
Bears @ Rams (STL by 11.79) – Sunday 1PM EST
Cowboys @ Buccaneers (DAL by -2.56) – Sunday 1PM EST
Lions @ Packers (GB by 17.92) – Sunday 1PM EST
Dolphins @ Eagles (PHI by 10.20) – Sunday 1PM EST
Saints @ Redskins (NO by 3.76) – Sunday 1PM EST
Vikings @ Raiders (OAK by 3.44) – Sunday 4:05PM EST
Chiefs @ Broncos (DEN by 6.54) – Sunday 4:25PM EST
Patriots @ Giants (NE by -12.09) – Sunday 4:25PM EST
Cardinals @ Seahawks (ARI by -4.49) – Sunday 8:30PM EST
Texans @ Bengals (CIN by 19.42) – Monday 8:30PM EST
My current record is 29-13 (69.1%) and that percentage has increased every week.
This past week was my highest pick percentage (12/14 – 85.7%).
Week 9 Picks
Browns @ Bengals (CIN by 18.4) – Thursday 8:25PM EST
Dolphins @ Bills (BUF by 6.13) – Sunday 1PM EST
Jaguars @ Jets (NYJ by 18.67) – Sunday 1PM EST
Redskins @ Patriots (NE by 21.24) – Sunday 1PM EST
Raiders @ Steelers (PIT by 7.56) – Sunday 1PM EST
Packers @ Panthers (GB by -0.38) – Sunday 1PM EST
Rams @ Vikings (MIN by 0.39) – Sunday 1PM EST
Titans @ Saints (NO by 9.19) – Sunday 1PM EST
Giants @ Buccaneers (NYG by -4.34) – Sunday 4:05PM EST
Falcons @ 49ers (ATL by -7.13) – Sunday 4:05PM EST
Broncos @ Colts (DEN by -9.09) – Sunday 4:25PM EST
Eagles @ Cowboys (PHI by -3.86) – Sunday 8:30PM EST
Bears @ Chargers (SD by 7.33) – Monday 8:30PM EST
My picks last week went 12/14 (85.7%). Here are the power rankings for Week 9:
- Patriots (-15.11929536)
- Bengals (-11.61954774)
- Cardinals (-10.9237947)
- Broncos (-7.979309623)
- Steelers (-6.613999158)
- Jets (-6.108519772)
- Packers (-5.485099536)
- Eagles (-3.688316896)
- Seahawks (-3.167637899)
- Chiefs (-2.691362328)
- Rams (-2.509169546)
- Panthers (-2.108256961)
- Raiders (-2.057640377)
- Falcons (-1.407109517)
- Ravens (-0.717281602)
- Bills (-0.039281333)
- Vikings (0.099837334)
- Giants (1.062188476)
- Saints (2.45219902)
- Chargers (2.950333679)
- Dolphins (3.090401648)
- Redskins (3.120679248)
- Cowboys (3.170602492)
- Browns (3.787522572)
- Colts (4.107010639)
- Texans (5.575017203)
- Bears (7.283308903)
- Buccaneers (8.405250455)
- Titans (8.64554756)
- 49ers (8.71812925)
- Jaguars (9.558694259)
- Lions (10.20889962)
I only had a 1-game swing in correct picks this week, but an increase is an increase:
Record for this week: 9-5 (64.3%)
Overall Record: 17-11 (60.7%)
Correct Picks:
Seahawks over 49ers
Redskins over Buccaneers
Falcons over Titans
Vikings over Lions
Rams over Browns
Dolphins over Texans
Patriots over Jets
Giants over Cowboys
Cardinals over Ravens
Incorrect Picks:
Bills over Jaguars
Colts over Saints (NSC was actually -0.38 in favor of Saints)
Steelers over Chiefs
Chargers over Raiders
Eagles over Panthers
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