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NFL Week 11 Picks

November 19th, 2015 No comments

I disagree with some of these picks (ex Dolphins over Cowboys, especially with Romo returning) but the point of this blog is to follow the model and see what it can predict:

Titans @ Jaguars (JAX by 4.758) Thursday at 8:25PM

Rams @ Ravens (BAL by 2.129) Sunday at 1:00PM

Redskins @ Panthers (CAR by 7.516) Sunday at 1:00PM

Broncos @ Bears (DEN by -3.577) Sunday at 1:00PM

Cowboys @ Dolphins (MIA by 6.017) Sunday at 1:00PM

Raiders @ Lions (OAK by -2.197) Sunday at 1:00PM

Jets @ Texans (NYJ by -2.135) Sunday at 1:00PM

Colts @ Falcons (ATL by 6.464) Sunday at 1:00PM

Buccaneers @ Eagles (PHI by 13.253) Sunday at 1:00PM

Chiefs @ Chargers (KC by -7.231) Sunday at 4:05PM

Packers @ Vikings (MIN by 2.799) Sunday at 4:25PM

49ers @ Seahawks (SEA by 14.285) Sunday at 4:25PM

Bengals @ Cardinals (ARI by 4.466) Sunday at 8:30PM

Bills @ Patriots (NE by 14.181) Monday at 8:30PM

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NFL Week 11 Power Rankings

November 19th, 2015 No comments

My last week picks were terrible – 4-10 (28.57%) but it looks like there were a lot of upsets league-wide among people making picks.  My season overall is now 41-28 (59.42%).  I expect a rebound in Week 11.

Power Rankings

  1. Patriots -14.80622451
  2. Cardinals -10.2293053
  3. Bengals -8.763174038
  4. Steelers -6.413662666
  5. Chiefs -5.151734659
  6. Panthers -4.603024718
  7. Jets -3.664813218
  8. Bills -3.625713379
  9. Broncos -3.581127935
  10. Eagles -2.93697678
  11. Seahawks -2.61196403
  12. Packers -2.292418826
  13. Vikings -2.092338505
  14. Falcons -1.282686045
  15. Giants -1.242796698
  16. Redskins -0.086722419
  17. Dolphins 1.126202639
  18. Texans 1.470545421
  19. Rams 1.676185748
  20. Colts 2.181712649
  21. Ravens 2.547680678
  22. Raiders 2.694533663
  23. Bears 2.995927035
  24. Cowboys 4.143298917
  25. Chargers 5.079023807
  26. Jaguars 5.326911624
  27. Saints 6.03443556
  28. Titans 7.084545616
  29. Browns 7.142959543
  30. Buccaneers 7.316044107
  31. Lions 7.891491635
  32. 49ers 8.673185084
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NFL Week 10 Picks

November 12th, 2015 No comments

Last week my picks took a dip – I was 8-5 (61.54%).  Overall record for this year: 37 and 18 (67.28%).

Week 10 Picks

Bills @ Jets (NYJ by 5.45) – Thursday 8:25PM EST

Jaguars @ Ravens (BAL by 10.39) – Sunday 1PM EST

Panthers @ Titans (CAR by -7.00) – Sunday 1PM EST

Browns @ Steelers (PIT by 19.47) – Sunday 1PM EST

Bears @ Rams (STL by 11.79) – Sunday 1PM EST

Cowboys @ Buccaneers (DAL by -2.56) – Sunday 1PM EST

Lions @ Packers (GB by 17.92) – Sunday 1PM EST

Dolphins @ Eagles (PHI by 10.20) – Sunday 1PM EST

Saints @ Redskins (NO by 3.76) – Sunday 1PM EST

Vikings @ Raiders (OAK by 3.44) – Sunday 4:05PM EST

Chiefs @ Broncos (DEN by 6.54) – Sunday 4:25PM EST

Patriots @ Giants (NE by -12.09) – Sunday 4:25PM EST

Cardinals @ Seahawks (ARI by -4.49) – Sunday 8:30PM EST

Texans @ Bengals (CIN by 19.42) – Monday 8:30PM EST

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NFL Week 9 Picks

November 5th, 2015 No comments

My current record is 29-13 (69.1%) and that percentage has increased every week.

This past week was my highest pick percentage (12/14 – 85.7%).

Week 9 Picks

Browns @ Bengals (CIN by 18.4) – Thursday 8:25PM EST

Dolphins @ Bills (BUF by 6.13) – Sunday 1PM EST

Jaguars @ Jets (NYJ by 18.67) – Sunday 1PM EST

Redskins @ Patriots (NE by 21.24) – Sunday 1PM EST

Raiders @ Steelers (PIT by 7.56) – Sunday 1PM EST

Packers @ Panthers (GB by -0.38) – Sunday 1PM EST

Rams @ Vikings (MIN by 0.39) – Sunday 1PM EST

Titans @ Saints (NO by 9.19) – Sunday 1PM EST

Giants @ Buccaneers (NYG by -4.34) – Sunday 4:05PM EST

Falcons @ 49ers (ATL by -7.13) – Sunday 4:05PM EST

Broncos @ Colts (DEN by -9.09) – Sunday 4:25PM EST

Eagles @ Cowboys (PHI by -3.86) – Sunday 8:30PM EST

Bears @ Chargers (SD by 7.33) – Monday 8:30PM EST

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NFL Week 9 Power Rankings

November 4th, 2015 No comments

My picks last week went 12/14 (85.7%).  Here are the power rankings for Week 9:

  1. Patriots (-15.11929536)
  2. Bengals (-11.61954774)
  3. Cardinals (-10.9237947)
  4. Broncos (-7.979309623)
  5. Steelers (-6.613999158)
  6. Jets (-6.108519772)
  7. Packers (-5.485099536)
  8. Eagles (-3.688316896)
  9. Seahawks (-3.167637899)
  10. Chiefs (-2.691362328)
  11. Rams (-2.509169546)
  12. Panthers (-2.108256961)
  13. Raiders (-2.057640377)
  14. Falcons (-1.407109517)
  15. Ravens (-0.717281602)
  16. Bills (-0.039281333)
  17. Vikings (0.099837334)
  18. Giants (1.062188476)
  19. Saints (2.45219902)
  20. Chargers (2.950333679)
  21. Dolphins (3.090401648)
  22. Redskins (3.120679248)
  23. Cowboys (3.170602492)
  24. Browns (3.787522572)
  25. Colts (4.107010639)
  26. Texans (5.575017203)
  27. Bears (7.283308903)
  28. Buccaneers (8.405250455)
  29. Titans (8.64554756)
  30. 49ers (8.71812925)
  31. Jaguars (9.558694259)
  32. Lions (10.20889962)
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NFL Week 7 Picks Recap

October 27th, 2015 No comments

I only had a 1-game swing in correct picks this week, but an increase is an increase:

Record for this week: 9-5 (64.3%)

Overall Record: 17-11 (60.7%)

Correct Picks:

Seahawks over 49ers
Redskins over Buccaneers
Falcons over Titans
Vikings over Lions
Rams over Browns
Dolphins over Texans
Patriots over Jets
Giants over Cowboys
Cardinals over Ravens

Incorrect Picks:

Bills over Jaguars
Colts over Saints (NSC was actually -0.38 in favor of Saints)
Steelers over Chiefs
Chargers over Raiders
Eagles over Panthers

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